DONUTFLIPPER

Walking the order book

DONUTFLIPPER
LIVE2sLive data

WHAT THESE NUMBERS ARE

A price is not a market

The best price on the board has a finite quantity behind it. A craft that is wildly profitable for the first 500 runs can lose money on run 501, because the cheap ingredients are gone and the good orders are filled.

Every figure here is executable: the order book is walked level by level until the next craft would stop being worth it. That is why each row carries a maximum number of crafts. It is the point at which the trade stops working, not a round number.

How a meta is priced

The strategy assumed here is the one players actually use: you place your own buy order for the ingredients, craft, then deliver the output into orders that already exist.

So the ingredient cost is what it takes to be first in line — the best standing order plus one — because a seller takes the highest offer. An order priced below that may never fill, and profit that depends on an order that never fills is not profit.

Confidence

Each meta carries a score out of 100. It starts at 100 and loses points for named doubts: a price backed by very little volume, a single sighting rather than a pattern, a figure far from its own recent median, stale data, or output demand concentrated in one order.

Confidence never changes a financial figure. It decides the ranking and it warns you — the money is computed the same way regardless.

How current this is

Prices come from public in-game order books, scanned continuously, one item at a time on a deliberate delay. A full pass takes about an hour, so any single price is usually minutes old — every row shows its own age, and anything past thirty minutes is labelled stale rather than quietly presented as live.

Right now: 659 items priced of 858 tracked, 887 recipes analysed.

What this is not

It is not an official tool, it is not affiliated with Mojang, it does not play the game for anyone, and it does not buy, sell or place orders. It reads public market data and does arithmetic on it.

Numbers can be wrong: the market moves, an order is cancelled, a price was an outlier. Read the confidence score before acting on a figure that looks too good.